- Nose of upper level jet
- strong diffluence
- strong curvature from downstream ridge amplification over the course of the last 18 hours
- More than sufficient instability
- synoptic flow will keep morning warm frontal convection cirrus and debris from hampering afternoon destabilization
- Strong cyclogenesis
- bulging dryline and cold front
- pressure falls in region (Dima I know you like that parameter)
- Excellent vertical speed shear (ie bulk shear)
- lowest 1.5 km speed shear of 30 knots
- SSE wind at surface and SW at 850 (ie helicity)
- further enhanced shear from LLJ hour or two before sunset when storms are still coupled with BL
Saturday, April 14, 2012
Why Nebraska?
All of these ingredients will conveniently find themselves in a single location tomorrow afternoon...
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